展望未来,我有一些想法想和大家分享。
商业律师
3 回答
Hey everyone,
So, after that 13D filing today, I've been wondering why Ryan Cohen moved all those shares from his company to his personal account. I wanted to dig into similar situations in the past to see if we could get a hint of what might be coming for GameStop.
I looked at moves by Elon Musk, Michael Dell, Carl Icahn, Patrick Byrne, and Warren Buffett. Here's what I found:
* **Elon Musk:** Did this before the Tesla/SolarCity merger and again before selling shares to buy Twitter.
* **Michael Dell:** Did it before taking Dell private and before the EMC merger.
* **Carl Icahn:** Moved shares to launch a big shakeup at Herbalife.
* **Patrick Byrne:** Did it before stepping down from Overstock and diving into crypto.
* **Warren Buffett:** Consolidated his shares to take control of Berkshire Hathaway.
**What did they DO after moving the shares and WHY?**
* **Musk:** Merged Tesla with SolarCity and later sold shares for the Twitter deal.
* **Dell:** Took Dell private to restructure and then merged with EMC to show commitment and simplify things.
* **Icahn:** Restructured Herbalife.
* **Byrne:** Left Overstock to invest in crypto.
* **Buffett:** Took over Berkshire and shifted its focus.
**How LONG did it take them to act?**
* **Musk:** Weeks to months.
* **Dell:** Six to nine months.
* **Icahn:** Less than a year.
* **Byrne:** A few months.
* **Buffett:** Three to six months.
**What does this mean for GameStop?**
Based on these past situations, here are some possibilities:
* **Cohen might buy more GameStop stock:** He might want to increase his stake. Given he has taken on the CEO role and Larry Cheng's comments, it would appear more likely he adds to the position.
* **Cohen could take GameStop private:** It might be necessary for long-term growth, partnering with investors. We shareholders would need to approve it, and usually, offers like this are 20-30% above the current stock price, with a potential dividend.
* **GameStop could merge with or acquire another company:** With its cash and a potentially friendlier M&A environment, GameStop might be looking to buy a profitable company to boost growth.
* **Cohen might be planning a big strategy shift:** Similar to Buffett, he might be pivoting GameStop's core business.
**In short:**
Big CEOs often move shares before major company moves. This could mean adding to their position, going private, mergers, or overhauls. Sometimes, it means selling shares or stepping down.
Given GameStop's cash and Cohen's commitment, it seems likely we'll see some big changes in the next year, likely within 3-6 months, which should be good for shareholders.